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2016 SAG Awards: Predictions

My -- as always -- fearless predictions, this time for the 2016 SAG Awards.  What's so important about the SAG Awards?  Well, for one, all four acting winners from last year went on to went Oscars, so there's that...and, as an [amateur, non-professional] actor myself, I can understand how appreciative these well-paid celebrities would be upon receiving these odd-looking statuettes from their peers.  

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
Winner: Spotlight -- While Mark Ruffalo and Rachel MacAdams scored individual nominations, this really is an ensemble piece that relies of the strength of its cast to get the message across.
Runner-up: The Big Short -- In the same vein, without the success of its solid, game cast, this movie would have suffered.  Both films have enough momentum to win here. 

Outstanding Performing by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
Winner: Leonardo DiCaprio -- The Revenant -- DiCaprio should continue his awards sweep and inch ever closer to the previously-elusive Oscar with this riveting performance of few words. 
Runner-up: Eddie Redmayne -- The Danish Girl -- Last year's winner is the only one who comes close, though because he won last year, the SAG will give it to DiCaprio.  That doesn't make Redmayne's performance any less inspiring. 

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
Winner: Brie Larson -- Room -- Like DiCaprio, Larson will continue picking up yet another award for her heartbreaking portrayal of a young captive mother. 
Runner-up: Saoirse Ronan -- Brooklyn -- In a crowded category full of terrific female performances, Ronan, who has picked up awards this season from some critics circle, is the only one who could overtake Larson, though this is unlikely. 

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Winner: Christian Bale -- The Big Short -- Oddly, current awards season front runner Sylvester Stallon (Creed) did not receive a SAG nomination, so my best guess is that guild favorite Bale will win here, as he did at the Critics' Choice Awards (in the Comedy category). 
Runner-up: Idris Elba -- Beasts of No Nation -- There is also the potentiality that Elba will receive a sort of consolation prize for the lack of an Oscar nomination. 

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
Winner: Alicia Vikander -- The Danish Girl -- At this point, Vikander and previous winner Winslet are neck-and-neck, though Vikander's Critics' Choice win may propel her to the top here. 
Runner-up: Kate Winslet -- Steve Jobs -- However, because many people view Vikander's role as a lead (and rightfully so), Winslet may win, in what is clearly more of a supporting role. 

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series
Winner: Transparent -- Forget the Golden Globes -- Mozart in the Jungle, really? -- because Transparent, despite it often being more of a drama than a comedy, is brilliant. 
Runner-up: Orange is the New Black-- Despite this series' inclusion in the drama category for last year's Emmy's, it still has a chance in the comedy category.  And, like Spotlight and The Big Short, OITNB is truly an ensemble piece. 

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series
Winner: Game of Thrones -- Many critics and fan alike have agreed that last season of Thrones was its best yet, so it could repeat its Emmy win here. 
Runner-up: Downton Abbey -- The Abbey's final season may not be the most critically-acclaimed, but it is the final season, and might be rewarded for its solid six seasons. 

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series
Winner: Jeffrey Tambor -- Transparent -- Tambor is the anchor of the show, and his Globes was a major disappointment and shock.  No reason for him to lose the SAG Award.   
Runner-up: Louis C.K. -- Louie -- Despite that, Louie is well-liked, and his performance is more traditionally humorous than Tambor's. 

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series
Winner: Amy Poehler -- Parks & Recreation -- It is more of a hope than a prediction, but I have a feeling Poehler's fellow actors will appreciate what she did with the very funny, very odd character of Leslie Knope for several seasons. 
Runner-up: Uzo Aduba -- Orange is the New Black -- This is really a tough category, as perennial favorite Julia Louis-Dreyfus could win, but Aduba, who won the Emmy but not the Globe, deserves it too. 

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series
Winner: Jon Hamm -- Mad Men -- Hamm should continue sweeping up awards for his final season as Don Draper. 
Runner-up: Rami Malek -- Mr. Robot -- But don't count out newcomer Malek, who was one of 2015's biggest break-outs. 

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series
Winner: Viola Davis -- How to Get Away with Murder -- Taraji P. Henson, who topped Davis for the Globe, was surprisingly left out here, so it's last year winner Davis' to lose. 
Runner-up: Robin Wright -- House of Cards -- Wright's best work on Cars was this past season, despite her terrible hair. 

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries
Winner: Idris Elba -- Luther -- Elba may take home two SAG Awards this year, as Globe winner Oscar Isaac was left out. 
Runner-up: Mark Rylance -- Wolf Hall -- Rylance, who made the cut for the Oscars, has a chance here, but I am just guessing here. 

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries
Winner: Queen Latifah -- Bessie -- Latifah lost out to Lady Gaga at the Globes, but Gaga is nowhere to be seen here, so the well-liked Latifah should win the SAG Award. 
Runner-up: Susan Sarandon -- The Secret Life of Marilyn Monroe -- I am 100% guessing here, as I have not seen any of these movies/miniseries or performances. 

Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Comedy or Drama Series
Winner: Game of Thrones -- This past season of Thrones contained some of the most difficult, craziest, most expensive battle/fighting scenes yet, and while much of it was computerized, I am sure the stunt ensemble did their far share. 
Runner-up: The Walking Dead -- But so has TWD, though its zombie-full scenes are more due to the props and make-up departments. 

Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Comedy or Drama Series
Winner: Mad Max: Fury Road -- This is Mad Max's only SAG Award nomination, and while the SAG do not give out technical awards, expect Max to win here due to its technical excellence. 
Runner-up: Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation -- Have you seen Tom Cruise's stunts in the Mission Impossible movies?  Enough said. 

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