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Early Oscar Predictions

The 2015 Oscars are really only a few months away--congratulations to the multi-talented Neal Patrick-Harris on his much-deserved selection as Host--so it's time to start predicting the nominees.  I won't go through every category, of course (the shorts are difficult to predict).  And I'll list as many in each category as I think have a chance, ranked in order of most likely to secure a nomination to least likely.  Time, and award shows between now and Nomination Day, will change these rankings, surely. 


Best Picture
1. Gone Girl
2. The Imitation Game
3. Birdman
4. Boyhood
5. Unbroken
6. Selma
7. The Theory of Everything
8. Interstellar
9. The Grand Budapest Hotel
10. Wild
11. Into the Woods
12. Whiplash
13. A Most Violent Year
14. Still Alice
15. American Sniper
16. Foxcatcher
17. Mr. Turner
18. Inherent Vice
19. Rosewater
20. Exodus: Gods and Kings
21. Big Eyes
22. Nightcrawler
23. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies


Best Director
1. David Fincher -- Gone Girl
2. Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu -- Birdman
3. Richard Linklater -- Boyhood
4. Morten Tyldum -- The Imitation Game
5. Angelina Jolie -- Unbroken
6. Christopher Nolan -- Interstellar
7. Bennett Miller -- Foxcatcher
8. James Marsh -- The Theory of Everything
9. Rob Marshall -- Into the Woods
10. Mike Leigh -- Mr. Turner
11. Ava DuVernay -- Selma
12. Jean-Marc Valle -- Wild
13. Wes Anderson -- The Grand Budapest Hotel
14. Clint Eastwood -- American Sniper
15. J.C. Chandor -- A Most Violent Year
16. Damien Chazelle -- Whiplash
17. Paul Thomas Anderson -- Inherent Vice
18. Tim Burton -- Big Eyes
19. Jon Stewart -- Rosewater
20. Ridley Scott -- Exodus: Gods and Kings
21. Theodore Melfi -- St. Vincent
22. Tommee Lee Jones -- The Homesman
23. Steve James -- Life Itself


Best Actor
1. Eddie Redmayne -- The Theory of Everything
2. Michael Keaton -- Birdman
3. Benedict Cumberbatch -- The Imitation Game
4. Steve Carrell -- Foxcatcher
5. Timothy Spall -- Mr. Turner
6. Jack O'Connell -- Unbroken
7. David Oleyowo -- Selma
8. Ralph Fiennes -- The Grand Budapest Hotel
9. Matthew McConaughey -- Interstellar
10. Bradley Cooper -- American Sniper
11. Bill Murray -- St. Vincent
12. Jake Gyllenhaal -- Nightcrawler
13. Channing Tatum -- Foxcatcher
14. Oscar Isaac -- A Most Violent Year
15. Ben Affleck -- Gone Girl
16. Joaquin Phoenix -- Inherent Vice
17. Eller Coltrane -- Boyhood
18. Miles Teller -- Whiplash
19. James Corden -- Into the Woods
20. Philip Seymour Hoffman -- A Most Wanted Man
21. Gael Garcia Banal -- Rosewater
22. Bill Hader -- The Skeleton Twins
23. John Hawkes -- Low Down


Best Actress
1. Julianne Moore -- Still Alice
2. Reese Witherspoon -- Wild
3. Rosamund Pike -- Gone Girl
4. Felicity Jones -- The Theory of Everything
5. Hilary Swank -- The Homesman
6. Emily Blunt -- Into the Woods
7. Amy Adams -- Big Eyes
8. Marion Cotillard -- Two Days, One Night
9. Jessica Chastain -- The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby
7. Mia Wasikowska -- Tracks
8. Shailene Woodley -- The Fault in Our Stars
9. Scarlett Johanssen -- Under the Skin
10. Kristen Wiig -- The Skeleton Twins
11. Gugu Mbatha-Raw -- Belle
12. Marion Cotillard -- The Immigrant
13. Keira Knightley -- Begin Again
14. Anne Hathaway -- Interstellar
15. Jenny Slate -- Obvious Child
16. Helen Mirren -- The Hundred Foot Journey
16. Maggie Smith -- My Old Lady
17. Jennifer Lawrence -- The Hunger Games: Mockingjay -- Part I
18. Tilda Swinton -- Only Lovers Left Alive
19. Nicole Kidman -- Before I Go To Sleep
20. Quvenzhane Wallis -- Annie
21. Michelle Monaghan -- Fort Bliss
22. Robin Wright -- The Congress
23. Elisabeth Moss -- The One I Love


Best Supporting Actor
1. J.K. Simmons -- Whiplash
2. Mark Ruffalo -- Foxcatcher
3. Ethan Hawke -- Boyhood
4. Edward Norton -- Birdman
5. Alec Baldwin -- Still Alice
6. Robert Duvall -- The Judge
7. Josh Brolin -- Inherent Vice
8. Christoph Waltz -- Big Eyes
9. Andy Serkis -- Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
10. Albert Brooks -- A Most Violent Year
11. Tim Roth -- Selma
12. Logan Lerman -- Fury
13. Tom Wilkinson -- Selma
14. Domnhall Gleeson -- Unbroken
15. Martin Short -- Inherent Vice
16. Charles Dance -- The Imitation Game
17. Charlie Cox -- The Theory of Everything
18. John Goodman -- The Gambler
19. Joel Edgerton -- Exodus: Gods and Kings
20. Michael Fassbender -- Frank
21. Johnny Depp -- Into the Woods
22. Chris Pine -- Into the Woods
23. Neil Patrick-Harris -- Gone Girl
25. Garrett Hedlund -- Unbroken


Best Supporting Actress
1. Keira Knightley -- The Imitation Game
2. Jessica Chastain -- A Most Violent Year
3. Patricia Arquette -- Boyhood
4. Meryl Streep -- Into the Woods
5. Emma Stone -- Birdman
6. Laura Dern -- Wild
7. Carmen Ejogo -- Selma
8. Sienna Miller -- American Sniper
9. Carrie Coon -- Gone Girl10. Marion Bailey -- Mr. Turner
11. Tilda Swinton -- Snowpiercer
12. Anna Kendrick -- Into the Woods
13. Kristen Stewart -- Still Alice
14. Melissa McCarthy -- St. Vincent
15. Jessica Chastain -- Interstellar
16. Rene Russo -- Nightcrawler
17. Marisa Tomei -- Love is Strange
18. Vanessa Redgrave -- Foxcatcher
19. Viola Davis -- The Diappearance of Eleanor Rigby
20. Oprah Winfrey -- Selma
21. Octavia Spencer -- Black or White
22. Kim Dickens -- Gone Girl
23. Dorothy Atkinson -- Mr. Turner
24. Naomi Watts -- St. Vincent


Best Animated Film
1. Big Hero 6
2. The Lego Movie
3. The Book of Life
4. The Tale of the Princess Kaguya
5. The Boxtrolls
6. Song of the Sea
7. How to Train Your Dragon 2
8. Rocks in My Pocket
9. The Penguins of Madagascar
10. Peabody & Sherman
11. Rio 2
12. Planes: Fire & Rescue


Best Adapted Screenplay
1. Gone Girl
2. Unbroken
3. The Imitation Game
4. The Theory of Everything
5. Still Alice
6. Into the Woods
7. Wild
8. Inherent Vice
9. American Sniper
10. The Fault in Our Stars
11. Rosewater
12. The Homesman
13. A Most Wanted Man
14. The Boxtrolls
15. Obvious Child
16. The Gambler
17. Pride
18. Winter Sleep
19. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
20. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
21. How to Train Your Dragon 2
22. Snowpiercer
23. Tracks


Best Original Screenplay
1. Boyhood
2. Birdman
3. Interstellar
4. Whiplash
5. Foxcatcher
6. A Most Violent Year
7. The Grand Budapest Hotel
8. Mr. Turner
9. Selma
10. Chef
11. Nightcrawler
12. Dear White People
13. Love is Strange
14. The Lego Movie
15. Top Five
16. Locke
17. Begin Again
18. The Skeleton Twins
19. Fury
21. The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby
22. St. Vincent.
23. Big Hero 6
24. Big Eyes


Best Cinematography
1. Birdman
2. Interstellar
3. Unbroken
4. Mr. Turner
5. The Grand Budapest Hotel
6. Selma
7. Inherent Vice
8. Gone Girl
9. Into the Woods
10. A Most Violent Year
11. Fury
12. The Theory of Everything


Best Visual Effects
1. Interstellar
2. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
3. The Amazing Spider-Man 2
4. Guardians of the Galaxy
5. Captain America: The Winter Soldier
6. Edge of Tomorrow
7. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
8. X-Men: Days of Future Past
9. Snowpiercer
10. Exodus: Gods and Kings
11. Maleficent
12. Godzilla


Best Costume Design
1. Into the Woods
2. The Imitation Game
3. Maleficent
4. The Grand Budapest Hotel
5. The Theory of Everything
6. Mr. Turner
7. Exodus: Gods and Kings
8. Big Eyes
9. Noah
10. Inherent Vice
11. Unbroken
12. Fury
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