Oscar Predictions

Oscar nominations won't be announced until January 16th, but many -- like myself -- are already predicting the nominees (and winners).  Here, I'm ranking the nominees in each category (except for the shorts and the sound mixing and sound editing categories, which have no wins and/or nominations thus far), based on early wins and nominations.  FYI: I'm ranking the 10 possible nominees, and starring the ones that may make the Oscar ballot. 


Picture:
*1. 12 Years a Slave
*2. Gravity
*3. American Hustle
*4. Captain Phillips 
*5. Her
*6. Saving Mr. Banks
*7. Inside Llewyn Davis
*8. Nebraska
9. The Wolf of Wall Street
10. Fruitvale Station

Director:
*1. Steve McQueen -- 12 Years a Slave
*2. Alfonso Cuaron -- Gravity
*3. Spike Jonze -- Her
*4. David O'Russell -- American Hustle
*5. Paul Greengrass -- Captain Phillips
6. Alexander Payne -- Nebraska
7. Martin Scorcese -- The Wolf of Wall Street
8. Lee Daniels -- The Butler

Actor:
*1. Chiwetel Ejiofor -- 12 Years a Slave
*2. Tom Hanks -- Captain Phillips
*3. Matthew McConaughey -- Dallas Buyers Club
*4. Bruce Dern -- Nebraska
*5. Robert Redford -- All is Lost
6. Forest Whitaker -- The Butler 
7. Idris Elba -- Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
8. Leonardo DiCaprio -- The Wolf of Wall Street
9. Joaquin Phoenix -- Her
10. Oscar Isaac -- Inside Llewyn Davis


Actress:
*1. Cate Blanchett -- Blue Jasmine
*2. Sandra Bullock -- Gravity
*3. Meryl Streep -- August: Osage County
*4. Judi Dench -- Philomena
*5. Emma Thompson -- Saving Mr. Banks
6. Amy Adams -- American Hustle
7. Kate Winslet -- Labor Day
8. Brie Larson -- Short Term 12
9. Julie Delpy -- Before Midnight
10. Shailene Woodley -- The Spectacular Now

Supporting Actor:
*1. Jared Leto -- Dallas Buyers Club
*2. Michael Fassbender -- 12 Years a Slave
*3. Barkhad Abdi -- Captain Phillips
*4. Daniel Bruhl -- Rush
*5. James Gandolfini -- Enough Said
6. James Franco -- Spring Breakers
7. Bradley Cooper -- American Hustle
8. Will Forte -- Nebraska
9. Tom Hanks -- Saving Mr. Banks
10. Sam Rockwell -- The Way, Way Back

Supporting Actress:
*1. Lupita Nyong'o -- 12 Years a Slave
*2. Jennifer Lawrence -- American Hustle
*3. June Squibb -- Nebraska
*4. Julia Roberts -- August: Osage County
*5. Oprah Winfrey -- The Butler
6. Octavia Spencer -- Fruitvale Station
7. Scarlett Johansson -- Her
8. Sally Hawkins -- Blue Jasmine
9. Lea Seydoux -- Blue is the Warmest Color
10. Sarah Paulson -- 12 Years a Slave

Original Screenplay:
*1. American Hustle
*2. Her
*3. Inside Llewyn Davis
*4. Blue Jasmine
*5. Nebraska
6. Saving Mr. Banks
7. Philomena
8. Enough Said
9. Mud
10. In a World

Adapted Screenplay:
*1. 12 Years a Slave
*2. Before Midnight
*3. The Wolf of Wall Street
*4. Captain Phillips
*5. August: Osage County
6. The Wolf of Wall Street
7. Philomena
8. The Spectacular Now
9. Blue is the Warmest Color
10. The Bling Ring

Film Editing:
*1. Gravity
*2. 12 Years a Slave
*3. Rush
*4. The Wolf of Wall Street
*5. American Hustle
6. Captain Phillips
7. All Is Lost
8. Inside Llewyn Davis
9. Her
10. Saving Mr. Banks

Animated Film
*1. Frozen
*2. The Wind Rises
*3. Monsters University
*4. The Croods
*5. Despicable Me 2
6. Ernest & Celestine
7. Epic
8. Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2
9. A Letter to Momo
10. Walking with Dinosaurs

Foreign Film
*1. The Past
*2. Wadjda
*3. The Hunt
*4. The Great Beauty
*5. A Touch of Sin 
6. Gloria
7. The Broken Circle Breakdown
8. The Act of Killing
9. The Wind Rises
10. Jiseul

Documentary:
*1. The Act of Killing
*2. Stories We Tell
*3. 20 Feet From Stardom
*4. Blackfish
*5. The Square
6. After Tiller
7. Tim's Vermeer
8. A Band Called Death
9. Casting By
10. A River Changes Course

Cinematography:
*1. Gravity
*2. Inside Llewyn Davis
*3. 12 Years a Slave
*4. Her
*5. The Great Gatsby 
6. All Is Lost
7. Nebraska
8. Prisoners
9. Spring Breakers
10. Ain't Them Bodies Saints

Original Score:
*1. 12 Years a Slave
*2. Gravity
*3. Her
*4. Saving Mr. Banks
*5. Inside Llewyn Davis
6. All Is Lost
7. The Book Thief
8. Frozen
9. Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
10. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug

Original Song
*1. Inside Llewyn Davis -- "Please, Mr. Kennedy"
*2. Frozen -- "Let It Go"
*3. Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom -- "Ordinary Love"
*4. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire -- "Atlas"
*5. Depicable Me 2 -- "Happy"
6. The Great Gatsby -- "Young and Beautiful"
7. One Chance -- "Sweeter Than Fiction"
8. 12 Years a Slave -- "My Lord Sunshine"
9. Epic -- "Rise Up"
10. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug -- "I See Fire"

Visual Effects:
*1. Gravity
*2. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
*3. Iron Man 3
*4. Star Trek Into Darkness
*5. Pacific Rim
6. Man of Steel
7. Elysium
8. Oblivion
9. Oz: The Great and Powerful
10. World War Z

Production Design:
*1. Gravity
*2. 12 Years a Slave
*3. The Great Gatsby
*4. Her
*5. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
6. Inside Llewyn Davis
7. American Hustle
8. The Butler
9. Saving Mr. Banks
10. Oz: The Great and Powerful

Costume Design:
*1. 12 Years a Slave
*2. American Hustle
*3. The Great Gatsby
*4. Saving Mr. Banks
*5. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
6. The Butler
7. Inside Llewyn Davis
8. August: Osage County
9. The Invisible Woman
10. Oz: The Great and Powerful

Make-Up/Hairstyling:
*1. American Hustle
*2. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
*3. The Butler
*4. 12 Years a Slave
*5. Rush
6. Dallas Buyers Club
7. Saving Mr. Banks
8. August: Osage County
9. Oz: The Great and Powerful
10. The Lone Ranger